Zimmermann discusses career strategies with young Chinese scholars at Jinan University

On the invitation of Professor and Dean Shuaizhang Feng, Head of the Institute for Economic and Social Research (IESR), the President of the Global Labor Organization (GLO), Klaus F. Zimmermann (UNU-MERIT, Maastricht), was visiting Jinan University in Guangzhou, China, from March 11 to March 20. In only two years, Professor Feng was building up an amazing research center with a large number of excellent young scholars.

On March 12, Zimmermann gave a “career talk” for a larger number of young scholars and started his discussions which various individuals. He spoke about his own career background, the challenge of publishing in academic journals, the involvements in academic networks and the media responsibilities of scientists. Zimmermann has been Program Director of CEPR, Founding Director of IZA and President of DIW Berlin. He has created the IZA Journals and was involved in various other journals, e.g. he was one of the Managing Editors of Economic Policy. He still is the Editor-in-Chief of the Journal of Population Economics and directs GLO as its President.

Zimmermann spoke about the Journal of Population Economics, see also the latest Report of the Editor-in-Chief. (The 2017 Editor-in-Chief Report can be accessed here.) The current final acceptance rate of this leading field journal is below 8%. The 2018 Kuznets Prize winners for the best journal article in 2017 are Chunbei Wang & Le Wang, see for further information. Chunbei Wang and Le Wang, now both at the University of Oklahoma, got their Bachelor Degree in 2001 from Jinan University. See a report on the prize ceremony and an interview with author Le Wang on the message of the article.

Related research articles of Zimmermann:

  • Advising Policymakers Through the Media, Journal of Economic Education, 35 (2004), 395-405.
  • Publications: German Economic Research Institutes on Track, Scientometrics, 80 (2009), 233-254. (With R. Ketzler)
  • Trends in Economic Research: An International Perspective, Kyklos, 63 (2010), 479-494. (With A. Cardoso and P. Guimarães.)
  • Comparing the Early Research Performance of PhD Graduates in Labor Economics in Europe and the USA, Scientometrics, 84 (2010), 621-637. (With A. Cardoso and P. Guimarães.)
  • A Citation-Analysis of Economic Research Institutes, Scientometrics, 95 (2013), 1095-1112. (With R. Ketzler.)
  • Three Decades of Publishing Research in Population Economics. Journal of Population Economics. 30 (2017), 11-27. (With A. J. G. Brown.)

Zimmermann at the entry gate of Jinan University, main campus

 

 

 

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Zimmermann’s China Research Papers

On the invitation of Professor and Dean Shuaizhang Feng, Head of the Institute for Economic and Social Research (IESR), the President of the Global Labor Organization (GLO), Klaus F. Zimmermann (UNU-MERIT, Maastricht), was visiting Jinan University in Guangzhou, China, from March 11 to March 20. On March 11, on a short stop on Beijing Airport on his transfer to Guangzhou, he was reflecting his China research papers in the comfortable Air China Lounge.

Zimmermann‘s selected research papers on China:

  • Relative Concerns of Rural-to-Urban Migrants in China, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 81 (2012), 421-441. (With A. Akay and O. Bargain.)
  • Self-Employment of Rural-to-Urban Migrants in China, International Journal of Manpower, 33 (2012), 96-117.  (With C. Giulietti and G. Ning.)
  • China’s Latent Human Capital Investment: Achieving Milestones and Competing for the Top, Journal of Contemporary China, 22 (2013), 109-130. (With A. Constant, B. Tien and J. Meng.)
  • The RUMiC Longitudinal Survey: Fostering Research on Labor Markets in China, IZA Journal of Labor and Development, 3 (2014) (With M. Akgüc and C. Giulietti.)
  • Remittances and Well-Being among Rural-to-Urban Migrants in China, Review of Economics of the Household, 12 (2014), 517-546. (With A. Akay, C. Giulietti and J.D. Robalino.)
  • Sibling Influence on the Human Capital of the Left Behind, Journal of Human Capital, 9 (2015), 403-438. (With C. Biavaschi and C. Giulietti.)
  • Remittances and Relative Concerns in Rural China, China Economic Review, 37 (2016), 191-207. (With A. Akay, O. Bargain, C. Guilietti and J. D. Robalino.)
  • Risk Attitudes and Migration, China Economic Review, 37 (2016), 166-176. (With M. Akgüc, X. Liu and M. Tani.)

 

 

 

Zimmermann reflecting in the  Air China Lounge in Beijing

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EBES-GLO-FOM Conference in Berlin: May 23, 2018 GLO Sessions Complete

The 25th Conference of the Eurasia Business and Economics Society (EBES) will take place on May 23-25, 2018 in Berlin/Germany. It is jointly organized with the Global Labor Organization (GLO) and hosted by the FOM University in their Berlin study center. A previous announcement.  See also for: Further information.

On May 23, 2018 three GLO sessions will contribute to the success of the 25th EBES conference in Berlin:

GLO Policy Panel on: “Mobilizing Human Resources in Africa”

GLO Research Paper Session  on: “Wellbeing”

GLO “Thematic Research Cluster” Session

!! At the 25th EBES/GLO Conference – Berlin, Germany, May 23, 2018!!

Policy Panel on: “Mobilizing Human Resources in Africa”

Ernest Ngeh Tingum (University of Cape Town, South Africa): A research agenda for trade developments in Africa

Martin Kahanec (Central European University, Budapest, Hungary) with Martin Guzi (Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic): A research agenda concerning subjective and objective evaluations of living wages in Africa

Kea Tijdens (University of Amsterdam, Netherlands, and WageIndicator Foundation): A research agenda focussing on informal labour markets in Africa

Tilman Brück (International Security and Development Center, Berlin, Germany and London School of Economics, UK): Employment Creation and Peace Building

Almas Heshmati (Jönköping International Business School, Sweden, and Sogang University, South Korea; GLO Cluster Lead Africa): GLO Thematic Cluster on Labor Markets in Africa

SESSION CHAIR: Kea Tijdens (University of Amsterdam, Netherlands, and WageIndicator Foundation) and Christoph Kannengießer (CEO, German African Business Association), invited 

 Abstracts:

TINGUM: Micro data of the Regional Program Enterprise Development for Cameroon’s manufacturing firms in 2009 reveal that most firms were technically inefficient, but that firms in the food processing sector, followed by wood and furniture were most efficient. Firms with 5 to 20 years of operation experience were found to be more efficient. Results show that a higher level of efficiency, firm size, foreign ownership, lower tax rates, producing in the industrial zone, and being in the food processing and textile sectors are the major determinants of the propensity to export and for the decision to export or not. The policy recommendation is that, there is still room for technical efficiency improvements with existing firm technologies. In the near future, however, new technologies must be introduced to sustain higher efficiency levels and reduce related production costs. More so, in order to promote efficiency and export performance, polices should be designed at attracting FDIs more especially in the food processing and textile sectors. Follow-up research is urgently needed, for Cameroon and other African countries. (See Ngeh Ernest Tingum (2014) Technical Efficiency and Manufacturing Export Performance in Cameroon, A Firm Level Analysis, Ph.D. (Economics) Dissertation, University of Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.)

KAHANEC with GUZI: Living wages are increasingly used to assess the economic adequacy of legal minimum wages. Different approaches have been developed to estimate the cost of living for a family of a particular size across countries. In this paper the calculated living costs are contrasted with the subjective measures of minimum family income necessary to secure a decency. The aim of this effort is to understand that the subjective and objective evaluations of living wages have direct relevance to the concerns of societies and individuals. Data from different sources are put together (including available national surveys and WageIndicator Cost of Living surveys that include question on minimum family income) to gather information for the number of African countries. The calculated living costs are obtained from the reports of Global Living Wage Coalition and WageIndicator that estimate the living wages in developing countries. In addition to informing policy, this research will show that living wages provide a meaningful metric of economic adequacy that reflects the needs of workers and their cost of living.

TIJDENS: In recent decades, the informal economy has evoked considerable interest from researchers, aiming to estimate and explain its size in developing countries. Over the years a variety of views on informality have proliferated and the range of indicators has been broadened accordingly, as can be grasped from ILO, IMF and World Bank publications. The topics of discussion focus around the status of micro-entrepreneurs, informal or unregistered workers in formal enterprises, and in/exclusion from the benefits and rights incorporated in labour laws and social security systems. The plurality of views tends to collide with the limited possibilities to empirically test the dimensions suggested, often resulting in a return to simple dichotomies. Based on merged data of comparable face-to-face surveys sampled from national establishment registers in nine countries: Benin, Ghana, Guinea, Kenya, Madagascar, Niger, Rwanda, Senegal and Togo (2006-2014) the authors developed an index for job-based informality: an 11-point interval scale, ranging from 0=very informal to 10=very formal, based on employment status, agreed working hours, earnings in cash or in kind, and contribution and entitlement to social security. Working in a small establishment is the most important factor determining a low score on the index, and so are workers in trade, transport and hospitality, and having a low education. The more informal workers are, the lower their wages, and the more they are working more than 48 hours. A research agenda for Africa should include detailed empirical measurement and analysis of the multi-dimensional concepts of informal work, to underpin policies related to formality in labour markets. (See Tijdens KG, Besamusca J, Van Klaveren M (2015) Workers and labour market outcomes of informal jobs in formal enterprises. A job-based informality index for nine sub-Saharan African countries, European Journal of Development Research, 1 – 19, doi: 10.1057/ejdr.2014.73)

BRÜCK: An increasing share of the poorest people in the world live under the shadow of violent conflict, weak institutions or humanitarian emergencies, in particular in Africa. Their behavior and welfare and the means to support these people effectively is not very well understood academically, in part as a result of the poor availability of data in this field. Recent advances in this field have focused on understanding the impact of conflict on human capital, analyzing how employment and entrepreneurship can contribute to peacebuilding, learning about the interactions between conflict and migration, and the development of tools of conduct rigorous impact evaluations in conflict and fragile Areas. The contribution in this panel will will focus on the lessons this research can provide for policymaking in Africa.

HESHMATI: The African economy is growing fast. The change is a result of the continents development, relocation of production, industrial development and service sectors expansion. The continent is facing a number interrelated challenges. This include the pressing issues related to labor market, human resources, environment, and population in an African context. The recent World Bank advances in household, firm, industry and national level data collections have enabled a new interest in development economics research. The focus of this cluster is on: the mobility of labor within and across countries; the labor market reforms, work conditions and rights of workers; the job market training programs and their evaluations; school-to-work transition and youth unemployment; trends in income, assets and education inequality and multidimensional poverty; discrimination and women’s participation in the labor market; urban-rural migration and infrastructure investments; entrepreneurship; environment, sustainable development and labor market policy; health, happiness, social policy and well-being; and labor market implications of growing population and ageing. This GLO Cluster includes studies using policies and their evaluations with regard to the emerging and the developing economies in Africa.

!! At the 25th EBES/GLO Conference – Berlin, Germany, May 23, 2018!!

GLO Research Paper Session  on: “Wellbeing”

Almas Heshmati (Jönköping International Business School, Sweden, and Sogang University, South Korea) with Masoomeh Rashidghalam and Pia Nilsson: Measurement and Analysis of Multidimensional Well-being in Rwanda

Olena Nizalova (University of Kent, UK) with Olga Nikolaieva, Jonas Voßemer, Michael Gebel and Katerina Gousia: Youths’ experiences of labor market shocks and late life well-being and health

Milena Nikolova (University of Groningen) with Boris Nikolaev: Family Matters: Involuntary Parental Unemployment During Childhood and Subjective Well-being Later in Life

Corrado Giulietti (University of Southampton): Migration and Wellbeing in the UK

Klaus F. Zimmermann (UNU-MERIT) with John Haisken-DeNew: The New Australian Work Life After the Refugee Camp

Francesco Pastore (University of Napoli): Working But Watching Every Penny? Working Poverty and School Dropout in Mongolia

SESSION CHAIR: Milena Nikolova (University of Groningen) and Matloob Piracha (University of Kent)

Abstracts

HESHMATI: The well-being of families and their children is given high priority in development goals. Children’s well-being in Africa is important since the growing number of children is the greatest resource of this continent. Rwanda was one of the first countries that ratified the Convention on the Rights of the Child. The country, despite its very low GDP per capita, also has one of the best child well-being indicators in Africa. In the recent past the country has also had two important achievements: protection of children by establishing the National Commission for Children and launching a Strategy for National Child Care Reform. The measures aim to protect children’s rights and integrate children into families that are supported to provide needed care to them. These achievements are largely the result of strong laws and policies many of which have been developed with support from UNICEF. Investments in children’s well-being will help in addressing many persistent difficulties that society may have to face in the future. What happens during the early years is of crucial importance for every child’s development. This period offers great opportunities, but children are also vulnerable to negative influences. The objective of this research is to estimate multidimensional well-being of children and their families in Rwanda. The aim is to compute an overall well-being index decomposed into its underlying main components. The households are ranked by the level of well-being and by various household and community characteristics. The results shed light on the state and changes in the well-being of children and their families in Rwanda indicating which provinces and districts offer relatively better conditions for them. This can serve as a model for public policies aimed at improving general well-being in the country.

NIZALOVA: Since the start of the Great Recession many European countries have been witnessing unprecedented growth in unemployment rate, with youth being hit the hardest. This trend has raised concerns about the long-term consequences of unemployment and labour market insecurity while young on various outcomes. This paper exploits a unique opportunity provided by the retrospective module of the Survey of Health, Aging and Retirement in Europe to investigate the impact of unemployment experienced at young age on wellbeing and health at age 50 and beyond. Employing random coefficients modelling we find that labor market shocks from layoffs and plant closures have negative long-lasting consequences in terms of people’s health and wellbeing. Moreover, in case of the wellbeing, there is not only a downward shift of the entire wellbeing-age trajectory, but also an alteration in its shape. We do not find evidence in support of the hypothesis that individual response to labor market shocks differs by country.

NIKOLOVA with NIKOLAEV: This paper is the first to study how unexpected and involuntary parental unemployment experienced during childhood affects adult life satisfaction in Germany. Using household panel data linking parents and children and information on exogenous parental job loss due to company closures, we find that children whose parents were jobless have lower life satisfaction at ages 18-31 if the unemployment occurred when the child was 11-15 years old and if the father—rather than the mother—became unemployed at those ages. The life satisfaction penalty from parental unemployment experienced at ages 11-15 is also more pronounced among males, non-first born children, and those living in West Germany. Maternal unemployment during childhood is particularly harmful for young adults’ well-being if it occurred when the child was 0-5 years old and is entirely driven by those living in East Germany. Nevertheless, parental unemployment during childhood can also be positive for young adults’ life satisfaction, depending on the age at which it occurred and the child’s gender. Our results are independent of the local unemployment conditions and individual and family characteristics when growing up and are robust to controlling for parental job loss expectations. Adopting a life course perspective of family unemployment demonstrates that the intergenerational psychological costs of unemployment are more nuanced than previously thought. Such information can be important to policymakers when designing the timing of unemployment relief programs.

GIULIETTI: In this paper, we study the effects of immigration on the well-being of the UK native population. We use data from the British Household Panel Survey and the UK Household Longitudinal Study to empirically assess the impact of immigration on life satisfaction. Subsequently, we explore whether the impact of immigration varies depending on the geographical level considered, the characteristics of natives and on the type of immigrants. In the final part of the analysis, we assess the various dimensions of life satisfaction and explore the potential channels at work.

ZIMMERMANN with HAISKEN-DENEW: The world has recently seen a strong rise in refugee migration causing stricter reception policies in traditional immigration countries such as Australia in 2013. In the public debate, refugee and detention camps have played a very controversial role, in particular in the Australian case. The paper uses unique Australian panel data for 2013 – 2016 of (recognized) refugees to examine the effects such camps have on the employment success and wellbeing of the forced migrants. The data exhibits a slow labor market integration process only. The experience of camps has positive employment effects and there are no measurable mental health consequences.

PASTORE: This essay aims to study the determinants of working poverty at an individual level in Mongolia, one of the 50 poorest countries of the world. Working poverty means working for a salary that is below the poverty line. Our focus is on school dropout and family background, which is allowed by the type of data used, a school-to-work transition survey carried out by the ILO over a sample of young people aged 15 through 29 years.

!! At the 25th EBES/GLO Conference – Berlin, Germany, May 23, 2018 !!

GLO Thematic Research Cluster Session

Marco Leonardi (University of Milan): Labor Reform Policies and Italy After the Elections

Martin Kahanec (Central European University): Labor Mobility in the EU

Nick Drydakis (Anglia Ruskin University, Cambridge, UK): Gender, Gender Identity, Sexual Orientation and Labor Market Outcomes

Corrado Giulietti (University of Southampton): The Chinese Labor Market

Francesco Pastore (University of Napoli): School-to-Work Transition

Marco Vivarelli (Catholic University of Milan): Technological Change and the Labor Market: Employment, Skills, and Wages

Almas Heshmati (Jönköping International Business School, Sweden, and Sogang University, South Korea): Green Employment Creation

Tilman Brück (International Security and Development Center, Berlin, Germany and London School of Economics, UK):  Labor in Conflict, Fragile and Emergency Areas

SESSION CHAIR: Corrado Giulietti (University of Southampton) and Matloob Piracha (University of Kent)

Abstracts

LEONARDI: The GLO Cluster Labor Reform Policies focuses on reviewing and comparing the impacts of labor market reforms across countries. Many countries have had different labor market reforms across time. Germany in the year 2000s and much later Spain, France and Italy. Labor market reforms cover different dimensions: employment protection legislation, unemployment benefits, short time work, active labor market policies and wage bargaining. Each reform has a specific impact that can be evaluated using econometric methods in partial equilibrium. However, when countries try to learn from each other the best practice of reforms, the attention shifts to the political economy of reforms: the overall impact on the economy and the judgment on the political feasibility of reforms. More broadly, this GLO Cluster includes both studies using policy evaluation methods and studies which tackle the political economy of reforms in EU countries with the purpose of providing academic and policy makers with a large spectrum of reviews of the existing literature and of comparisons across countries. The presentation at the conference will have a special focus on the situation of labor market reforms after the Italian election.

KAHANEC: The consecutive enlargements of the EU, most recently including 11 countries from Central Eastern Europe and Cyprus and Malta (2004, 2007, 2013), have extended the freedom of movement to workers from 28 EU member states and a population of more than half a billion. In spite of the documented overwhelmingly positive effects of EU mobility, the perceptions of and attitudes to EU mobility have become increasingly polarized, which may have contributed to UK’s decision to leave the EU. The GLO Cluster EU Mobility focuses on causes and impacts of EU mobility on receiving as well as sending labor markets, and migrants themselves. Some of the key focus topics include EU mobility’s impacts on employment and wages, productivity and innovation, public budgets, labor supply and employment prospects of those left behind, remittances and brain drain, and perceptions of and attitudes to EU mobility. This Cluster has the ambition to generate rigorously scrutinized evidence on these topics and by doing so enable key stakeholders and policy makers to make informed decisions about EU mobility frameworks to the benefit of EU citizens.

DRYDAKIS: The GLO Cluster Gender, Gender Identity, Sexual Orientation and Labor Market Outcomes focuses on the state of being man or woman (gender), which is typically used with reference to masculinity vs femininity rather than sex, the internal and personal conception of oneself as man or woman (gender identity), and sexual preferences (sexual orientation) and their effects on wages, employment levels, occupational sorting, and workplace evaluations.

What is seen as gender-appropriate can change over time, and gender assumptions are interpolated by cultural, historical and regional location. The combined effects of sex equality, feminism and the gay movement have challenged the conception of gender related issues. This GLO Cluster includes studies on gender characteristics, stereotypes and deviations, trans identities, sexual orientation minorities and labor market outcomes. This GLO Cluster aims to provide evaluations of labor and organizational initiatives, practices and policies aiming at a higher degree of knowledge and inclusion for gender, gender identity and sexual orientation expressions.

Despite the enactment, in English speaking countries and the EU, of labor legislation against discrimination in the labor market based on sexual orientation and gender identity, LGBTI people continue to experience occupational access constraints, lower job satisfaction, wage discrimination, and more bullying and harassment than their heterosexual counterparts. In general, the dearth of studies makes it difficult to examine how education, occupation, industrial relations, region, core socio-economic characteristics, personality and mental health traits moderate the relationship between sexual orientation and labor market outcomes. In addition, quantitative research on employment outcomes is scarce for trans people. The interaction between trans identity, and sexual orientation, and the effects of this on employment outcomes is under-examined. Whether explicit, legislative employment protection against discrimination on the ground of a trans identity has an effect on employment outcomes has also received little attention.

GLO cluster on Gender, Gender Identity, Sexual Orientation and Labor Market Outcomes handles empirical studies on labor economics which have a clear and highlighted added value, and solid policy implications, on the following areas:

◾Testing, in under-examined geographical regions, for wage discrimination based on sexual orientation.

◾Empirically testing and disentangling the forms of employment discrimination (i.e. prejudice-based, and/or statistical discrimination) against LGBTI people.

◾Examining the relationship between sexual orientation, personality characteristics, mental health and employment outcomes.

◾Assessing how moderators (i.e. human capital, educational choices, occupations, family structure, industrial relations etc.) affect the relationship between sexual orientation and labor market outcomes.

◾Testing the relationship between sexual orientation, past/present victimization and labor market outcomes.

◾Quantifying the relationship between sexual orientation and job satisfaction.

◾Evaluating the impact of the legal recognition of same-sex couples on labor market outcomes.

◾Evaluating the impact of employment legislation against sexual orientation and trans identity discrimination on labor market outcomes.

◾Quantifying employment bias against trans people.

◾Examining the interaction between transidentities, sexual orientation and labor market outcomes.

 GIULIETTI: The GLO Cluster on the Chinese Labor Market aims at developing a research agenda around major challenges that China is currently facing, such as: rural-urban migration, structural changes in the labor force, rising income inequality, segmentation and labor market discrimination, labor market policy. At a broader level, this cluster aims at generating evidence-based policy advice for Chinese policymakers and for stakeholders interested in the Chinese labor market.

PASTORE: The GLO Cluster School-to-Work Transition will address economic and policy issues related to the school-to-work transition (SWT). A SWT regime denotes the set of institutions and rules that govern and supervise the passage of young people from school to adulthood. They include the degree of regulation and flexibility of the labour market, but also of the educational and training systems and the provision of employment services (placement and training) to help young people finding a job more easily. The household is also part of the regime, by providing, for instance, financial support during the entire transition and a cushion against the risk of unemployment. The role assigned to each institution within a regime is different from one country to another, so that different SWT regimes can be identified in the world.

VIVARELLI: The link between innovation and employment is both a classical and controversial issue, recently revived by the rapid diffusion of AI and robots in manufacturing and service sectors. This issue will be investigated theoretically and empirically, using both aggregate and microeconometric analyses. However, technological and structural change not only imply an impact on the employment levels, but also involve deep transformations in the skill and wage structure. These effects – which may also directly affect income distribution – will be studied at the national, sectoral, firm and individual level. These topics are treated with regard to the industrialized, the emerging and the developing economies.

HESHMATI: Green and circular economies are increasingly used in transition to sustainable development through increased use of renewable energy, pollution reduction measures, waste management and reuse and recycling of material. Investment in these areas are expected to influence both directly and indirectly the labor market. The literature on the ties between investment in sustainable development and employment creating development planning and policy that make sustainability a practical reality is receiving more attention. This GLO cluster covers research on the relationship between the green economy and green jobs and related areas. These include but not limited to green entrepreneurship, green taxes and regulations, green investment, green innovations, and matching education system and sustainability structures, how they are related and what their main determinants are.

BRÜCK: The Cluster focuses on the economics of labor supply and demand and the functioning of labor markets in areas of extreme uncertainty and weak institutions. An increasing share of the poorest people in the world live under the shadow of violent conflict, weak institutions or humanitarian emergencies. Their behavior and welfare and the means to support these people effectively is not very well understood academically, in part as a result of the poor availability of data in this field. Recent advances in this field have focused on understanding the impact of conflict on human capital, analyzing how employment and entrepreneurship can contribute to peacebuilding, learning about the interactions between conflict and migration, and the development of tools of conduct rigorous impact evaluations in conflict and fragile Areas. The GLO Cluster will support efforts to improve data collection and analysis in areas affected by conflict, suffering from weak governance or from humanitarian emergencies, bringing together academic researchers and practitioners from national governments, international organizations and NGOs.

 

GLO President Klaus F. Zimmermann

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Global Insights – MyView: No abuse of child benefits!

Trouble is currently generating once again the payment of German child allowance abroad. 343 million euros were spent on foreign children living abroad in 2017, significantly less than in the previous year (414 million euros). It is true that payments have increased almost tenfold compared to 2010. While there were nearly 62,000 children supported in 2010, by the end of 2017 there were already about 216,000 living abroad, including 103,000 in Poland and 17,000 each in Croatia and Romania. The level and rise of these figures are closely linked to the strong expansion of employment in Germany during this period: European workers are granted freedom of movement, pay taxes and are entitled to child benefits under European law, even for children living in their home country. This is not only legal, but secures German prosperity, is politically desired and economically appropriate. The integration of labor markets is a declared goal of European policy, as it improves economic conditions and also secures jobs for German workers. Child benefit payments help to secure the necessary labor mobility in Europe. If foreign workers only come to Germany temporarily, their children often stay in their home country, as they can be there better integrated into society, kindergarten and school. If they came to Germany, they would not only have to be integrated here, but temporary immigration could quickly become permanent. (KFZ)

Klaus F. Zimmermann, Professor of Economics and President of the Global Labor Organization (GLO), expresses his own opinion here. He was interviewed on this issue on March 21/22, 2018 in the “RTL Nachtmagazin“, a prominent German TV Newsmagazin.

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Global Insights – eine Meinung: Kein Mißbrauch beim Kindergeld!

Aufregung erzeugt derzeit wieder einmal die Zahlung von deutschem Kindergeld ins Ausland. 343 Millionen Euro sind 2017 für im Ausland lebende ausländische Kinder geflossen, deutlich weniger als im Vorjahr (414 Millionen Euro). Richtig ist, daß sich dabei die Zahlungen im Vergleich zu 2010 fast verzehnfacht haben. Während es 2010 noch knapp 62 Tausend Kinder waren, sind es Ende 2017 knapp 216 Tausend, darunter 103 Tausend die in Polen und je 17 Tausend, die in Kroatien und Rumänien leben. Niveau und Anstieg dieser Zahlen sind eng mit der in dieser Periode starken Ausweitung der Beschäftigung in Deutschland verbunden: Europäische Arbeitnehmer erfahren Freizügigkeit, zahlen Steuern und haben nach europäischem Recht Anspruch an Kindergeld auch für im Heimatland lebende Kinder. Das ist nicht nur rechtens, sondern sichert den deutschen Wohlstand und ist politisch gewollt und wirtschaftlich zweckmäßig. Die Integration der Arbeitsmärkte ist erklärtes Ziel der europäischen Politik, da sie die Wirtschaftsbedingungen verbessert und auch Arbeitsplätze für deutsche Arbeitnehmer sichert. Kindergeldzahlungen tragen zur Sicherung der nötigen Arbeitsmobilität in Europa bei. Wenn ausländische Arbeitnehmer nur temporär nach Deutschland kommen, bleiben ihre Kinder oft im Heimatland zurück, da sie so besser in Gesellschaft, Kindergarten und Schule integriert werden können. Kämen sie nach Deutschland, müßten sie nicht nur hier integriert werden, sondern aus einer temporären Zuwanderung würde auch schnell eine dauerhafte.  (KFZ)

 

Klaus F. Zimmermann, Wirtschaftsprofessor und Präsident der Global Labor Organization (GLO), äußert hier seine Meinung. Er äußerte sich zu dieser Frage im “RTL Nachtmagazin” am 21./22. 3. 18 (Null Uhr).

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Understanding “Fading Hope” in the United States: Ritzen & Zimmermann suggest a new understanding of major changes of our world today

A large literature has discussed whether the increase in inequality over the last decade in Western industrial countries such as the United States (US) would lead to increasing tensions between socio-economic groups, social uprising and political change which might in turn hamper economic growth. The French economist Thomas Piketty had popularized the inequality issue. Now we know that inequality perceptions of population groups are behind major changes in the world, e.g. Brexit, Trump, the rise of popular movements in Europe and else.

A newly published paper by GLO Fellow Jo Ritzen and GLO President Klaus F. Zimmermann studies this issue with long-term data for the United States. They document fading hopes of the wider population about the long-term future as a decisive indicator of change:

Ritzen, Jo & Klaus F. Zimmermann: Fading Hope and the Rise in Inequality in the United StatesEurasian Business Review, (2018) 8:1–12. LEAD ARTICLE. DOI: 10.1007/s40821-016-0071-3. UNU-MERIT Working Paper 2016-025  Prepublication. A very preliminary version of the paper was a DP already in 2012.

Both authors are Professors of Economics and are affiliated with UNU-MERIT and Maastricht University. Jo Ritzen was previously Dutch Minister for Education and Science and President of Maastricht University. Klaus F. Zimmermann was President of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), Founding Director of the Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) and was affiliated with Harvard University and Princeton University.

The paper uses survey data for the US collected by the Pew Research Center for the People covering 1999–2014 documenting a long-run decline in hope. Over the first decade, the decline in hope cannot be traced back to the rising inequality. However, recent data from 2014 suggest that inequality is now a major driver of a lower than ever level of hope. Therefore, inequality is a recent factor, but was not the long-run driver of the decline in hope.

Jo Ritzen

Klaus F. Zimmermann

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GLO President Zimmermann visits Jinan University in Guangzhou China

On the invitation of Professor and Dean Shuaizhang Feng, Head of the Institute for Economic and Social Research (IESR), the President of the Global Labor Organization (GLO), Klaus F. Zimmermann (UNU-MERIT, Maastricht), visits Jinan University in Guangzhou China from March 11 to March 20.

Together with GLO Fellow Feng, he has organized a joint IESR – GLO Labor Workshop that takes place at Jinan University on March 13, 2018.  Several other GLO Fellows are present at the event, including M Niaz Asadullah (University of Malaysia), who is also the Southeast Asia Lead of the GLO research program.

Zimmermann will provide the opening paper presentation on Tuesday, a public lecture on European Migration Challenges on Thursday, a “career talk” for young scholars on Monday and various individuals talks with GLO Fellows and faculty throughout the whole visit.

 

 

 

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“Big Data and Unemployment Analysis” published in the Journal of Renmin University of China

Internet or “big” data are increasingly measuring the relevant activities of individuals, households, firms and public agents in a timely way. The information set involves large numbers of observations and embraces flexible conceptual forms and experimental settings. Therefore, internet data are extremely useful to study a wide variety of human resource issues including forecasting, nowcasting, detecting health issues and well-being, capturing the matching process in various parts of individual life, and measuring complex processes where traditional data have known deficits.

A seminal article by Nikos Askitas and Klaus F. Zimmermann (2009) had demonstrated for the first time, how Google activity data measuring activity on the labor market can inform about official unemployment. This has opened the perspective to analyze real world phenomenon using internet data. This article has generated a strong and rising literature and caused a large number of cites in particular with reference to the unemployment issue (Google cites: March 9, 2018: 457).

Askitas, N., & Zimmermann, K. F. (2009). Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting. Applied Economics Quarterly, 55(2), 107-120.

In a recent article on “Big Data and Unemployment Analysis” GLO Fellows Mihaela Simionescu (Romanian Academy, Bucharest) and Klaus F. Zimmermann (UNU-MERIT)  have revisited his topic and research strategy and surveyed the relevant literature so far. A pre-publication version of the paper is available as

Simionescu, Mihaela; Zimmermann, Klaus F. (2017) : Big Data and Unemployment Analysis, GLO Discussion Paper, No. 81

Free download in English

The GLO paper has been published in Chinese as the lead article in the Journal of Renmin University of China, 2017, Volume 31, No.6, 2 – 11.

 Simionescu (Bratu) Mihaela at Romanian Academy
 Mihaela Simionescu
 
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Global Insights – MyView: The double SDP in decline?

As announced this morning, the members of the German Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (SPD), the SDP, are supporting a new Grand Coalition with Angela Merkel and her conservatives with a strong vote of two thirds. It is a self-rescue in the last moment. This way and for the time being, the party escapes an almost certain further decline in otherwise unavoidable new elections. But the old problems remain. In four of the five past governmental periods the SDP has shaped German politics, but never wanted as a whole to commit to and identify with the great achievements. In this respect, the SDP was always two parties, a reform government party and a left-wing opposition party. Scholz and Nahles were in the past leading exponents for these directions: Scholz as an important player during Schröder’s labor market policy, Nahles as an effective terminator of social-democratic key concerns in particular as a successful minister of employment of the last Merkel government. Neither the great successes of Schröder’s policy for the economic recovery of Germany nor the consistent policy of equality pursued by Nahles have brought the party to a clear position with itself. The fact that the two exponents Nahles and Scholz now jointly want to lead the SDP into the government and reform the party from the outside is at first just a replication of previous  constellations. Only if the new axis manages to not only allow successful governmental work, but also commit the party to support it, and not let the SDP to slip into the sole role of another opposition party, it has a chance of recovery. That would be the indispensable prerequisite for regaining the support of the electorate. (KFZ)

Klaus F. Zimmermann, Professor of Economics and President of the Global Labor Organization (GLO), expresses his own opinion here.

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Global Insights – eine Meinung: Die doppelte SPD im Niedergang?

Die SPD rettet sich mit ihrem Mitgliederentscheid mit klarem Votum in die Große Koalition. Damit ist sie einem fast sicheren, weiteren Niedergang vorerst entkommen. Aber die alten Probleme bleiben. In vier der fünf vergangenen Regierungsperioden hat sie die Politik Deutschlands geprägt, wollte sich aber nie als Ganzes zu ihren großen Erfolgen bekennen. Insofern war die SPD immer zwei Parteien, eine Reformpartei und eine linke Oppositionspartei. Scholz wie Nahles standen in der Vergangenheit für diese Richtungen. Scholz als wichtiger Akteur der Schröder’schen Arbeitsmarktpolitik, Nahles als effektiver Terminator sozialdemokratischer Schlüsselanliegen und erfolgreiche Arbeitsministerin der letzten Regierung Merkel. Weder die großen Erfolge der Schröder’schen Politik für die wirtschaftliche Genesung Deutschlands noch die von Nahles betriebene konsequente Gleichheitspolitik haben die Partei mit sich selbst ins Reine gebracht. Daß die beiden Exponenten Nahles und Scholz jetzt gemeinsam die SPD in die Regierung führen und von außen reformieren wollen, ist zunächst nur eine Neuauflage alter Konstellationen. Nur wenn es der neuen Achse gelingt, erfolgreiche Regierungstätigkeit nicht nur zuzulassen, sondern auch in die Partei zu vermitteln, und die SPD nicht zu einer Ersatz-Opposition entgleiten zu lassen, hat sie eine Chance auf Regeneration. Das wäre die unverzichtbare Voraussetzung, auch beim Wähler wieder anzukommen. (KFZ)

Klaus F. Zimmermann, Wirtschaftsprofessor und Präsident der Global Labor Organization (GLO), äußert hier seine Meinung.

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