“We study the effects of immigration restrictions on the cultural assimilation of second-generation migrants. In our theoretical model, when mobility is free, individuals with a stronger taste for their native culture migrate temporarily. When immigration is restricted, however, these individuals are incentivized to relocate permanently. Permanent emigrants procreate in the destination country and convey their cultural traits to the second generation, who will therefore find assimilation harder. We test this prediction by using the 1973 immigration ban in Germany (Anwerbestopp) as a quasi-experiment. Since the ban only concerned immigrants from countries outside the European Economic Community, they act as a treatment group. According to our estimates, the Anwerbestopp has reduced the cultural assimilation of the second generation. This result demonstrated robustness to several checks. We conclude that restrictive immigration policies may have the unintended consequence of delaying the intergenerational process of cultural assimilation. “
Read further open access for a short period:
Yoo-Mi Chin & Nicholas Wilson, Disease risk and fertility: evidence from the HIV/AIDS pandemic, Journal of Population Economics, 31 (2018), 429–451.
Kuznets Prize Winner 2019. The paper is freely downloadable for a short period. The Award Study shows that a rise in the disease risk increases the total fertility rate and the number of surviving children, a finding which has important policy implications.
The Kuznets Prize Paper of the Journal of Population Economics was announced and given at the #ASSA2019 meeting in Atlanta. The Award Study shows that a rise in the disease risk increases the total fertility rate and the number of surviving children, a finding which has important policy implications. In every year, the Prize is selected by the Editors of the Journal among the papers published in the previous year. List of Kuznets Prize winners.
Yoo-Mi Chin & Nicholas Wilson, Disease risk and fertility: evidence from the HIV/AIDS pandemic, Journal of Population Economics, 31 (2018), 429–451.
Yoo-Mi Chin
Interview with Author Yoo-Mi Chin, Professor of Economics at Baylor University
GLO: Is a rise of fertility after a disaster not the expected proper Malthusian response?
Yoo-Mi Chin: It is ambiguous whether we can clearly expect a Malthusian response to the HIV/AIDS pandemic. It is true that population might recover from a positive check like diseases by increasing fertility. But after all, HIV is a sexually transmitted disease, and proliferation of HIV may lower fertility by inducing the use of contraception for safe sex. Further, HIV takes a heavy toll on working age adults. Like we see in the case of Black Death, as large-scale mortality causes labor shortages and subsequent higher wages, more women participate in labor market, which would lead to lower fertility. On the other hand, it is also possible that higher wages generate an income effect on the number of children. A lower life expectancy may increase fertility through lower returns to education and the child quantity-quality trade-off. Given such theoretical ambiguity, we find that an empirical examination of the issue is warranted.
GLO: How is fertility affected by a rise in the disease risk?
Yoo-Mi Chin: We find that a doubling of HIV prevalence increased total fertility rate by approximately 1.37 births and increased surviving children by approximately 0.38 children, using distance to the origin of the pandemic as an instrument for HIV prevalence. Although HIV/AIDS likely has increased child mortality, our findings suggest that the increase in births exceeded the increase in child mortality.
GLO: What are the policy implications?
Yoo-Mi Chin: The rise of the HIV/AIDS pandemic appears to have increased total fertility and the number of surviving children. Although the net effect of the pandemic on GDP per capita needs to be more thoroughly examined in future research, the increases in total fertility and the number of surviving children coupled with high mortality of working age adults could potentially lead to increases in dependency ratios and decreases in GDP per capita. Our results suggest that positive externalities generated by HIV prevention efforts might be larger than previously thought in that they contribute not only to reductions in HIV prevalence but also to reductions in total fertility, which could potentially enhance future welfare. Therefore, more resources for HIV prevention efforts are warranted.
The Story
Yoo-Mi Chin & Nicholas Wilson, Disease risk and fertility: evidence from the HIV/AIDS pandemic, Journal of Population Economics, 31 (2018), 429–451.
Abstract: A fundamental question about human behavior is whether fertility responds to disease risk. The standard economic theory of household fertility decision-making generates ambiguous predictions, and the response has large implications for human welfare. We examine the fertility response to the HIV/AIDS pandemic using national household survey data from 14 sub-Saharan African countries. Instrumental variable (IV) estimates using distance to the origin of the pandemic suggest that HIV/AIDS has increased the total fertility rate (TFR) and the number of surviving children. These results rekindle the debate about the fertility response to disease risk, particularly the HIV/AIDS pandemic, and highlight the question of whether the HIV/AIDS pandemic has reduced GDP per capita.
The Author
Yoo-Mi Chin is an Assistant Professor of Economics at Baylor University with a Ph.D. from Brown University. She is also a Fellow of the Global Labor Organization (GLO). Most of her research focuses on the analysis of domestic violence. She has published her previous work in the Journal of Applied Statistics, the Journal of Health Economics, and World Development, among other outlets. Prior to joining Baylor University, she was an Assistant Professor at the Missouri University of Science & Technology.
YOO-Mi Chin and Editor-in-Chief Klaus F. Zimmermann during the award ceremony in Atlanta
The Global Labor Organization (GLO) announces a new Research Cluster on Development, Health, Inequality and Behavior and a new Country Lead for Switzerland.
The GLO Research Cluster Lead for Development, Health, Inequality and Behavior is Kompal Sinha. She is a Senior Lecturer and HDR Director at the Department of Economics of Macquarie University, Australia. Sinha is also an Associate Editor of the Journal of Population Economics. Her research deals with economic effects of consumer behavior, particularly in the area of health economics and development economics and the impacts on the design of economic policy.
Rainer Winkelmann is the GLO Country Lead Switzerland. He is a Professor of Economics at the University of Zurich, Switzerland. He is a prominent researcher in the areas of count data econometrics and the economics of wellbeing. His research paper “Why Are the Unemployed So Unhappy?” (with Liliana Winkelmann) has received nearly 1,900 Google cites; his textbook Econometric analysis of count data many more than 1,500 Google cites. He also joins the Editorial Board of the Journal of Population Economics as an Associate Editor.
January 4-6, GLO President Klaus F. Zimmermann, UNU-MERIT Maastricht, had visited the #ASSA2019 conference in Atlanta. The conference enables also networking with a larger number of publishers who are available for discussion with their journals and books in a specific exhibition open to the conference participants.
BELOW: Discussing the strong performance of the Journal of Population Economics with Barbara Fess from Springer Nature at #ASSA2019. The Journal publishes international research on the economics of population, household, and human resources.
Barbara Fess & Klaus F. Zimmermann
BELOW: Discussing the strong development of the Research Journal Comparative Economic Studies at #ASSA2019: Katie Hall, Associate Editor at Palgrave Macmillan & Springer Nature with Editor Nauro Campos, Brunel University London, and Klaus F. Zimmermann, UNU-MERIT, Maastricht, Bonn University and Member of the Editorial Board. Zimmermann is President of the Global Labor Organisation (GLO), Campos is also GLO Fellow.
Posted inEvents, News, Research, Science|Tagged#ASSA2019|Comments Off on Zimmermann discussed journal issues with publishers from Springer Nature at #ASSA2019.
The Kuznets Prize Paper of the Journal of Population Economics in a particular year is selected by the Editors of the Journal among the papers published in the previous year. Then the winners will be presented in a prize ceremony. This year the winners remained confidential until January 4, 2019.
The Kuznets Prize Ceremony2019 took place at a Reception of the Institute for Economic and Social Research (IESR) of Jinan University on Friday January 4, 2019 as part of the ASSA 2019 Atlanta conference of the American economists, which is probably the largest gathering of academic economists in the world with typically far more than 10,000 participants. Very many friends of the Global Labor Organization(GLO) and the Journal of Population Economics who were participating at ASSA2019 followed the invitation of Dean Shuaizhang Feng, Head of the Institute for Economic and Social Research (IESR), who is also a GLO Fellow. A larger number of prominent economists participated, including many Editorial Board Members of the Journal of Population Economics and Kuznets Prize winners of previous years.
The Story
Yoo-Mi Chin & Nicholas Wilson, Disease risk and fertility: evidence from the HIV/AIDS pandemic, Journal of Population Economics, 31 (2018), 429–451.
Abstract: A fundamental question about human behavior is whether fertility responds to disease risk. The standard economic theory of household fertility decision-making generates ambiguous predictions, and the response has large implications for human welfare. We examine the fertility response to the HIV/AIDS pandemic using national household survey data from 14 sub-Saharan African countries. Instrumental variable (IV) estimates using distance to the origin of the pandemic suggest that HIV/AIDS has increased the total fertility rate (TFR) and the number of surviving children. These results rekindle the debate about the fertility response to disease risk, particularly the HIV/AIDS pandemic, and highlight the question of whether the HIV/AIDS pandemic has reduced GDP per capita.
The Authors
Yoo-Mi Chin is an Assistant Professor of Economics at Baylor University with a Ph.D. from Brown University. She is also a Fellow of the Global Labor Organization (GLO). Most of her research focuses on the analysis of domestic violence. She has published her previous work in the Journal of Applied Statistics, the Journal of Health Economics, and World Development, among other outlets. Prior to joining Baylor University, she was an Assistant Professor at the Missouri University of Science & Technology.
Nicholas Wilson is a Fellow with the Office of Evaluation Sciences, an Associate Professor of Economics at Reed College and the Chair of the Department of Economics. He is also a Fellow of the Global Labor Organization (GLO). His research focuses on fundamental puzzles about human behavior in the context of health, development, and behavioral economics. Prior to joining Reed College, he was a Visiting Scholar at the University of California, Berkeley and an Assistant Professor of Economics at Williams College. He has published a larger number of papers in journals including the American Economic Review, Demography, Economics & Human Biology, Journal of Development Economics and Journal of Health Economics.
Yoo-Mi Chin
Nicholas Wilson
The Ceremony
Shuaizhang Feng, Head of the Institute for Economic and Social Research (IESR) of Jinan University and GLO Fellow introduced the Institute and warmly welcomed the Kuznets Prize Ceremony. Then Klaus F. Zimmermann, GLO President and Editor-in-Chief presented and explained the prize paper and introduced the authors. Yoo-Mi Chin received the prize for both authors.
Yoo-Mi Chin & Klaus F. Zimmermann at the Prize Ceremony Shuaizhang Feng & Klaus F. Zimmermann heading the Prize Ceremony
Posted inEvents, News, Research|Comments Off on Kuznets Prize given at the #ASSA2019 meeting: The Award Study shows that a rise in the disease risk increases the total fertility rate and the number of surviving children. This has important policy implications.
In front of a large crowd of ASSA participants including many GLO Fellows and Editorial Board Members of the Journal of Population Economics, Klaus F. Zimmermann, GLO President and Editor-in-Chief of the Journal of Population Economics announced some changes in the editorial staff of the Journal. As of January 2019, Madeline Zavodny moved from the position of Associate Editor to Managing Editor joining Michaella Vanore in this role.
Last summer, Oded Galor had already changed roles from Associate Editor to Editor. The two free positions of Associate Editors are now filled: Zimmermann, indicating more changes to come soon, announced that Shuaizhang Feng and Kompal Sinha of Macquarie University have taken these seats. All are GLO Fellows. He warmly welcomed all in the team.
Madeline Zavodny is a Professor of Economics at the University of North Florida. Her research concentrates on economic issues related to immigration and the economic and demographic effects of immigration policies. She is a member of the editorial board of the International Migration Review and has served as co-editor of the Southern Economic Journal and a board member of the American Economic Association’s Committee on the Status of Women in the Economics Profession. She received a Ph.D. in economics from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and a B.A. in economics from Claremont McKenna College. She has frequently published in journals like the American Economic Review, Demography, Journal of Labor Economics, Health Economics, Journal of Health Economics, International Migration Review and the Journal of Development Economics. See her personal website for further information.
Posted inNews, Science|Comments Off on Madeline Zavodny is Managing Editor of the Journal of Population Economics. Shuaizhang Feng and Kompal Sinha are Associate Editors.
On January 3, Klaus F. Zimmermann has left his holiday resort at Miami Beach to participate at the ASSA 2019 Atlanta conference of the American economists. In his role as the President of the Global Labor Organization (GLO), he will discuss research and policy issues and will be available throughout the conference.
Friends of GLO and the Journal of Population Economics participating at ASSA 2019 are invited to this reception and to the prominent Kuznets Prize ceremony, which takes place in the IESR Reception. The Kuznets Prize in a particular year is given to the author(s) of the best paper published in the previous year as judged by the editors. The ceremony will start at about 6.30 pm and will take about 15 minutes. Klaus F. Zimmermann who is also the Editor-in-Chief of the Journal of Population Economics, will announce some journal news including the 2019 prize winner(s). Then the award plate will be given to the author(s).
The Kuznets Prize ceremony takes place on the invitation of Dean Shuaizhang Feng, Head of the Institute for Economic and Social Research (IESR), who is also a GLO Fellow. A larger number of prominent economists will participate at the reception, including many Editorial Board Members of the Journal of Population Economics and Kuznets Prize winners of previous years.
Zimmermann had been a few times in Atlanta before. In October 2013 he was visiting the Andrew Young School of Policy Studies at Georgia State University and provided a public speech.
Klaus F. Zimmermann during his public speech on 4 October 2013 at Georgia State University, Atlanta/USA, while visiting the Andrew Young School of Policy Studies
As of 1 January 2019, the President of the Global Labor Organization (GLO), KlausF. Zimmermann also serves as the President of the Eurasia Business and Economics Society (EBES). EBES is a non-partisan, scholarly association dedicated to the discussion and publication of business and economics research and aims to advance the economic and business knowledge and the profession. EBES encourages plurality, freedom of expression and multidisciplinary. While the focus of EBES is the Eurasia region, the membership covers all parts of the world. MORE DETAILS.
Zimmermann had received the EBES Fellow Award 2018, was already a member of the Executive Board of EBES and a member of the Editorial Board of one of the EBES Journals, the Eurasian Economic Review (EAER, since 2017). In May 2018, EBES and GLO organized a very successful conference together in Berlin. In the summer, both organizations had signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) about establishing a long-term collaboration on educational and research activities. GLO will support paper sessions in the three conferences, EBES is organizing per year. This year, the events will be in Bali, Coventry and Lisbon.
Zimmermann is well known across European countries and in Asia. Recently, he has visited many East European and Asian countries including Russia, China, India, South Korea, Azerbaijan, Ukraine, Romania, Moldova, Slovakia, Hungary, and Croatia.
EBES publishes two research journals, theEurasian Economic Review (EAER) and the Eurasian Business Review (EABR). The EABR with GLO Fellow Marco Vivarelli (Catholic University of Milan) as the Editor-in-Chief just got accepted for inclusion in the Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI) starting with volume 6, issue 1 in 2016. This is a remarkable success.
The editorial team of EAER works with a similar ambition, since January 2019 under the leadership of Dorothea Schäfer as the Editor-in-Chief. Schäfer (German Institute for Economic Research DIW Berlin, Germany, and Jönköping University, Sweden) is a renowned financial market expert. Among other topics, Zimmermann had intensively published with her on issues of the financial market crises when he was President of DIW Berlin at the time of the Great Recession. A popular joint policy piece of them is: Dorothea Schäfer and Klaus F. Zimmermann, Bad Bank(s) and Recapitalisation of the Banking Sector, Vox of 13 June 2009 with 18,498 reads (as of 1 January 2019).
Dorothea Schäfer
“EBES and GLO will both greatly benefit from the collaboration”, argues Zimmermann. “The motives of the two organizations are truly global and with a similar academic spirit, while their various strengths are complementary. I congratulate Vivarelli and his team to the great success and EBES for getting Schäfer for the new role with EAER.”
Bilgin, Zimmermann & Vivarelli on May 2018 during EBES25 in Berlin
Mehmet Huseyin Bilgin (Istanbul Medeniyet University) is the long-term driving force of EBES and one of its Vice-Presidents, Marco Vivarelli (Catholic University of Milan) the Editor-in-Chief of EABR. Bilgin and Vivarelli are also GLO Fellows; Bilgin is further the GLO Country Lead Turkey and Vivarelli the GLO Cluster Lead ‘Technological Change and the Labor Market’.
Posted inMedia, Research, Science|Comments Off on Zimmermann is EBES President. EBES journals move to success: EABR got accepted by the Social Sciences Citation Index; Dorothea Schäfer is the new Editor-in-Chief of EAER.
Privacy & Cookies: This site uses cookies. By continuing to use this website, you agree to their use.
To find out more, including how to control cookies, see here:
Cookie Policy
